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2024-12-14 00:43:29

CITIC Securities: As the Spring Festival approaches, consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. CITIC Securities Research Report said that the Politburo meeting held on December 9, 2024 once again made it clear that expanding domestic demand is the key policy direction for the coming year, "expanding domestic demand in all directions" and "vigorously boosting consumption", expressing positive and igniting market expectations. After experiencing a rapid rebound in September, the consumer sector generally pulled back in October-November because the short-term consumption data has not yet reflected the effectiveness of the policy and the policy strength in the coming year is unclear. We believe that as the Spring Festival approaches, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. On the policy side, in addition to the "trade-in policy", we believe that there is still a package of consumption promotion toolboxes available, such as subsidies for first-time car buyers, maternity subsidies, and the issuance of state-subsidized catering and tourism coupons. We suggest that the consumption allocation should be progressive from both offensive and defensive to flexible varieties, with both offensive and defensive features: consumer Internet, dairy products with low valuation and high return, mass catering, etc., and flexibility: catering supply chain, alcohol, human resources services, hotels, etc., with obvious pro-cyclical characteristics, considering the consumption allocation demand driven by expectations first.The three major stock indexes opened lower, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.19%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.29% and the Growth Enterprise Market down 0.15%.The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 78.6 billion yuan today, and the winning bid rate was 1.50%, which was the same as before. As 41.3 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase expired today, the net investment on that day was 37.3 billion yuan.


The Hang Seng Science and Technology Index rose to 1%, and the Hang Seng Index is now up 0.70%.The Hang Seng Science and Technology Index rose to 1%, and the Hang Seng Index is now up 0.70%.There is still a large range of rainy weather in the south due to temperature fluctuations in many places in the country. Today and tomorrow (December 11-12), snowfall in the north will continue to shrink, and the south will continue to maintain a large range of rainy weather. At the same time, the cooling effect brought by cold air is still in progress, and the temperature in most areas will go down to a new level, with cold on top and cold on top, and many places will hit new lows since beginning of winter this year.


In the first 11 months of science and technology innovation board, the number of 13 new shares issued dropped significantly year-on-year. Statistics show that from January to November, 2024, 13 new shares were listed in science and technology innovation board, raising a total amount of about 13.5 billion yuan. The number of issues and the scale of fund-raising decreased by about 80% and 90% respectively year-on-year, and the two indicators declined for two consecutive years. Ailuo Energy and Dameng Data raised a total of more than 1.5 billion yuan, which was on the top of the scale. With the exception of Shanghai Hejing, which broke 6.31% on the first day of listing, the share prices of other science and technology innovation board IPOs all rose on the first day of listing. Among them, the share prices of Lianyun Technology and Jintian Titanium rose by over 300% on the first day of listing, with a relatively high increase. In terms of underwriters, the number of projects underwritten by Haitong Securities and CICC in the first 11 months of 2024 was in the top three. Judging from the scale of fundraising, the total number of projects underwritten by China Merchants Securities and CICC exceeds 3 billion yuan, and the project scale of Huatai United Securities, Haitong Securities and Huaying Securities all exceeds 1.5 billion yuan. (Xinhua Finance)Argentine President Millay: It is planned to cancel capital controls next year. Argentine President Millay said in a televised speech on December 10 local time that Argentina plans to cancel capital controls next year. Millay said that Argentina's economic team is preparing to carry out structural tax reform, which will abolish 90% of taxes, and the Argentine government will ban more institutions and listed companies in the new year. Demián Reidel, economic adviser to Milai, will announce Argentina's nuclear energy plan in the next few days.There is still a large range of rainy weather in the south due to temperature fluctuations in many places in the country. Today and tomorrow (December 11-12), snowfall in the north will continue to shrink, and the south will continue to maintain a large range of rainy weather. At the same time, the cooling effect brought by cold air is still in progress, and the temperature in most areas will go down to a new level, with cold on top and cold on top, and many places will hit new lows since beginning of winter this year.

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